12/02/2024

AI´S INTEGRATION INTO PLATFORM ALGORITHMS WELL ESTABLISHED

BUSINESS NEWS | 7

2024 Outlook for Facebook, Instagram, and Threads

As we entered 2024, it’s essential to forecast the upcoming advancements for Meta, the parent company behind prominent social platforms like Facebook, Instagram, and Threads. These projections are drawn from our extensive experience with these platforms, coupled with insights gleaned from Meta’s Q3 financial report of 2023.

Forecast 1: Enhanced AI Integration Across Multiple Dimensions

One of the most significant topics of 2023 has been AI, with innovations like ChatGPT and Midjourney making notable impacts across various industries. AI’s integration into platform algorithms is well-established. In Meta’s recent Q3 report, CEO Mark Zuckerberg highlighted that AI-driven recommendations led to a 7% increase in user time on Facebook and a 6% increase on Instagram in 2023. Users have noticed that the content they receive is more closely aligned with their interests. Frequent users of Ads Manager may have observed some changes. Currently, when setting a target audience, Meta automatically selects the “Advantage+ Audience” option. This allows advertisers to set their targeting parameters as usual, but Meta treats these settings as guidelines rather than strict boundaries, enabling the system to find the most suitable audience automatically. Furthermore, Meta often recommends using Advantage+ Creative when setting up ads. This feature allows the platform to adjust text placement, image colors, add music, and more based on user preferences. Meta asserts that this approach can significantly reduce advertising costs. Furthermore, in the Q3 discussions, both Mark Zuckerberg and Meta’s CFO Susan Li highlighted the introduction of “Advantage+ Shopping.” This innovative ad campaign within Ads Manager leverages AI to optimize for specific Standard Events, currently focused on Purchase. A distinctive feature of this campaign is the absence of manually set targeting parameters, granting the system complete control over delivery decisions. From our experience, manually setting targeting parameters tends to yield better short-term results compared to full AI optimization. However, this dynamic is anticipated to evolve as AI technology advances. We will be closely monitoring any enhancements and improvements in AI-driven ad optimization in the future.

Forecast 2: The Evolution of Threads

The initial excitement surrounding Threads in Hong Kong has waned significantly. After an initial surge in usage, interest and discussions around the platform dropped markedly within a week.

Despite this decline, Threads continues to enjoy active engagement, particularly from users in Taiwan. Contrary to some perceptions, its user base remains engaged. Threads’ content is distinctly different from that of Facebook and Instagram, focusing more on thought-sharing and random text-based posts rather than lifestyle moments, photos, or videos.

We believe Threads holds unique appeal and is unlikely to fade away like some previous Facebook applications (e.g., Lasso). Although skepticism about Threads’ future persists among Hong Kong users, increased integration with Instagram could significantly bolster its usage. For instance, if Threads content were displayed within Instagram accounts or if interactions on Threads led to greater visibility on Instagram, these features would incentivize users to engage more with Threads.

Forecast 3: Evolution of Instagram

After discussing our views on Threads, let’s move on to Instagram. As we entered 2024, we have noticed a surge in Instagram updates. Minor updates include the ability to share comments and add notes to posts. Moreover, Instagram is testing new features, such as allowing users to upload images for creators to choose from when making a post, resembling a collage concept. Combined with the previously launched Collaborator feature, these updates emphasize enhancing user interaction and collaboration on the platform. Many users recall significant updates from Instagram in 2023, such as Broadcast Channels. However, few can mention any major updates from Facebook this year. This observation suggests that Facebook has reached a mature stage of development, focusing on maintenance and consolidation. In contrast, significant developments are likely to concentrate on other platforms, such as Instagram and Threads.

Threads.
World business, People and Network connection concept. Global connection.

Prediction 4: Diversification of Monetization Strategies

Meta’s Q3 2023 financial report unveiled that a staggering 99% of the revenue attributed to their Family of Apps stemmed from advertising. Additionally, the report shed light on the revenue specifically derived from Reality Labs, which pertains to the metaverse. The Q3 report by Meta revealed a dominant reliance on advertising, capturing a substantial 99% of the revenue attributed to their Family of Apps. However, while the report shed light on the revenue generated by Reality Labs, it left unmentioned several potential revenue models:

  • Paid verification programs on Facebook and Instagram
  • Paid ad-free versions of Facebook and Instagram (limited to the European Union region)
  • Instagram Creator Program and Subscriptions revenue sharing
  • WhatsApp Business charges

Despite these potential avenues for revenue diversification, the “Family of Apps (Other)” category in the report, which encompasses these items, accounted for a mere 1% or less of the total revenue. This underscores the persistent dominance of advertising as the primary revenue source for Meta. Moreover, despite rumors suggesting WhatsApp might introduce ad charges, no official confirmation has been made thus far. Notably, Meta’s revenue performance in Q3 of the previous year outstripped that of the same period in the current year. While the level of activity on Facebook remains undisclosed, any notions of Meta’s imminent decline seem premature.

In Summary

As we delve into the various predictions and analyses surrounding Meta and its suite of platforms, it’s evident that the digital landscape is in a state of constant flux. From the integration of AI into advertising algorithms to the evolving nature of platforms like Threads and Instagram, Meta is navigating a dynamic environment. Despite challenges posed by emerging competitors and shifting consumer preferences, Meta’s position as a leader in the social media sphere remains robust, particularly in regions like Hong Kong. 

COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS: FACEBOOK, INSTAGRAM & THREADS

1. User Base and Demographics:

  • Facebook: Boasts the largest user base globally, with a diverse demographic ranging from teenagers to older adults. Initially popular among college students, it now caters to a wide audience.
  • Instagram: Primarily appeals to a younger demographic, particularly Millennials and Gen Z. Known for its visually appealing content, it has a significant presence among influencers, creatives, and businesses.
  • Threads: Targets a niche audience interested in more intimate and private communication. While initially designed for close friends, its user base is relatively smaller compared to Facebook and Instagram.

2. Features and Functionality:

  • Facebook: Offers a comprehensive range of features, including news feed, groups, events, marketplace, and live streaming. It also integrates messaging through Messenger.
  • Instagram: Focuses on visual content sharing, such as photos and short videos (Stories). Features include Explore, IGTV, Reels, and Shopping, catering to both personal and business users.
  • Threads: Designed for private messaging and sharing moments with close friends. Features include automatic status updates based on user activity, customizable close friends list, and camera-first interface.

3. Privacy and Security:

  • Facebook: Faced criticism over privacy concerns and data breaches in the past. Continues to enhance privacy settings and security measures to regain user trust.
  • Instagram: Shares similar privacy concerns with Facebook but is perceived as more visually-oriented and less intrusive. Provides options for private accounts and control over content visibility.
  • Threads: Emphasizes privacy and intimate communication, with features like auto-status updates based on user-defined contexts. Offers end-to-end encryption for messages.

4. Monetization:

  • Facebook: Primarily monetizes through advertising, leveraging user data for targeted ad campaigns. Also generates revenue from sponsored posts, marketplace transactions, and paid subscriptions for premium features.
  • Instagram: Monetizes through sponsored content, influencer partnerships, and advertising. Introduced features like Shopping to facilitate e-commerce transactions.
  • Threads: Does not currently have a monetization strategy. Focuses on enhancing user experience and engagement within a private messaging environment.

5. Future Outlook:

  • Facebook: Expanding into new areas like virtual reality (Meta) and exploring innovative technologies like AI and metaverse. Facing challenges in maintaining user engagement and addressing privacy concerns.
  • Instagram: Continues to evolve as a platform for creators, businesses, and influencers. Investing in new features like Reels and enhancing e-commerce capabilities.
  • Threads: Faces competition from established messaging apps like WhatsApp and Messenger. Future success depends on its ability to differentiate itself and cater to niche user needs effectively.

Overall, each platform offers unique features and caters to distinct user demographics and preferences. While Facebook remains a dominant force in the social media landscape, Instagram and Threads serve more specialized purposes and audiences. The future success of these platforms will depend on their ability to innovate, adapt to evolving trends, and prioritize user privacy and security.

In conclusion, the social media landscape continues to evolve with platforms like Facebook, Instagram, and Threads each offering distinct features and catering to diverse user needs. While Facebook maintains its position as the largest and most comprehensive platform, Instagram appeals to a younger demographic with its visually-oriented content sharing. Threads, on the other hand, focuses on private communication among close friends.

As these platforms navigate challenges such as privacy concerns and competition from emerging technologies, their future success will hinge on their ability to innovate, adapt, and prioritize user satisfaction. With ongoing developments in virtual reality, artificial intelligence, and e-commerce, the social media landscape is poised for further transformation. Ultimately, the platforms that can effectively engage users while maintaining trust and security will thrive in the ever-changing digital ecosystem.